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及11何蛍

battle of the books et al(慕媾)-及11何蛍

弌傍�� battle of the books et al(慕媾) 忖方�� 耽匈4000忖

梓囚徒貧圭�鮗� ○ 賜 ★ 辛酔堀貧和鍬匈��梓囚徒貧議 Enter 囚辛指欺云慕朕村匈��梓囚徒貧圭�鮗� ● 辛指欺云匈競何��
!!!!隆堋響頼��紗秘慕禰厮宴和肝写偬堋響��




a treaty of peace by the Duke of Mantua�察�which�察                �because it is a matter of 

State that concerns us here at home�察�I            shall speak no farther of it。 

     I   shall  add    but  one    prediction    more�察   �and   that   in  mystical    terms�察�

which shall be included in a verse out of Virgil ´ 

       ALTER ERIT JAM TETHYS�察�ET ALTERA QUAE VEHAT ARGO 

DELECTOS HEROAS。 

       Upon   the   25th   day   of   this   month�察  �the   fulfilling   of   this   prediction 

will be manifest to everybody。 

     This    is  the   farthest   I  have   proceeded      in  my    calculations     for  the 

present year。      I do not pretend that these are all the great events               which 

will happen in this period�察�but that those I have set down                  will infallibly 

come to pass。        It will perhaps still be objected          why I have not spoken 

more   particularly   of   affairs   at   home�察  �or   of   the   success   of   our   armies 

abroad�察 �which   I   might�察�and   could   very       largely  have done�察�but those   in 

power have wisely discouraged men                 from meddling in public concerns�察�

and I was resolved by no means to                give the least offence。        This I will 

venture to say�察�that it will       be a glorious campaign for the Allies�察�wherein 

the   English   forces�察    �both   by   sea   and   land�察  �will   have   their   full   share   of 

honour�察     �that   Her    Majesty     Queen     Anne    will   continue     in  health   and 

prosperity�察    �and    that    no   ill  accident   will   arrive   to  any    in  the   chief 

Ministry。 

     As   to   the   particular   events   I   have   mentioned�察 �the   readers   may   judge 



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by    the   fulfilling   of   them�察   �whether     I  am    on   the  level    with   common 

astrologers�察�who�察�with an old paltry cant�察�and a few pothooks for                     planets�察�

to   amuse   the   vulgar�察  �have�察  �in   my   opinion�察  �too   long   been       suffered   to 

abuse   the   world。      But   an   honest   physician   ought   not   to       be   despised 

because   there   are   such   things   as   mountebanks。          I   hope   I   have   some 

share   of   reputation�察  �which   I   would   not   willingly   forfeit      for   a   frolic   or 

humour�察�and I believe no gentleman who reads this                     paper will look upon 

it to be of the same cast or mould with the                  common scribblers that are 

every   day   hawked   about。        My   fortune   has      placed   me   above   the   little 

regard   of   scribbling   for   a   few   pence�察   �which   I   neither   value   nor   want�察�

therefore�察�let no wise man too            hastily condemn this essay�察�intended for a 

good design�察�to        cultivate and improve an ancient art long in disgrace�察�by 

having       fallen     into   mean     and   unskilful     hands。     A     little  time   will 

determine       whether I have deceived others or myself�察�and I think it is no 

very      unreasonable        request    that   men    would     please    to  suspend     their 

judgments till then。         I was once of the opinion with those who                  despise 

all   predictions   from   the   stars�察  �till   in   the   year   1686   a   man  of   quality 

showed       me�察  �written    in  his  album�察    �that  the   most    learned    astronomer�察�

Captain H´�察�assured him�察�he would never believe                      anything of the stars' 

influence if there were not a great            revolution in England in the year 1688。 

Since that time I began to           have other thoughts�察�and after eighteen years' 

diligent study and         application�察�I think I have no reason to repent of my 

pains。     I   shall detain the reader no longer than to let him know that the 

account I design to give of next year's events shall take in the                     principal 

affairs that happen in Europe�察�and if I be denied the                  liberty of offering it 

to my own country�察�I shall appeal to the                learned world�察�by publishing it 

in Latin�察�and giving order to have            it printed in Holland。 



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                              CHAPTER IV 



             THE ACCOMPLISHMENT OF THE FIRST OF MR。 

     BICKERSTAFF'S           PREDICTIONS�察�

     BEING AN ACCOUNT OF THE DEATH OF MR。 PARTRIDGE THE 

ALMANACK´MAKER�察  �UPON   THE   29TH   INSTANT。   IN   A   LETTER 

TO A PERSON OF HONOUR�察�WRITTEN IN THE YEAR 1708。 



     MY LORD�察 � In obedience to your lordship's commands�察�as well as to 

satisfy my own curiosity�察�I have for some days past inquired                  constantly 

after   Partridge    the  almanack´maker�察      �of  whom   it   was    foretold    in  Mr。 

Bickerstaff's   predictions�察  �published   about   a   month      ago�察  �that   he   should 

die the 29th instant�察�about eleven at night�察�of          a raging fever。     I had some 

sort of knowledge of him when I was             employed in the Revenue�察�because 

he   used   every   year   to   present   me  with   his   almanack�察  �as   he   did   other 

gentlemen�察�upon the score of           some little gratuity we gave him。           I saw 

him    accidentally    once    or  twice     about   ten  days   before   he   died�察 �and 

observed he began very          much to droop and languish�察�though I hear his 

friends   did   not   seem   to   apprehend   him   in   any   danger。   About   two   or 

three days ago he        grew ill�察�was confined first to his chamber�察�and in a 

few hours      after to his bed�察�where Dr。 Case and Mrs。 Kirleus were sent 

for�察  �to  visit   and   to  prescribe   to  him。    Upon     this  intelligence    I  sent 

thrice   every   day   one   servant   or   other   to   inquire   after   his   health�察�and 

yesterday�察�about four in the afternoon�察�word was brought me                 that he was 

past   hopes�察  �upon   which�察  �I   prevailed   with   myself   to   go  and   see   him�察�

partly out of commiseration�察�and I confess�察�partly out               of curiosity。    He 

knew   me   very  well�察  �seemed   surprised   at   my    condescension�察  �and   made 

me   compliments   upon   it   as   well   as   he   could in   the   condition   he   was。 

The   people   about   him   said   he   had   been   for  some   time   delirious�察  �but 

when I saw him�察�he had his understanding                as well as ever I knew�察�and 

spoke strong and hearty�察�without any             seeming uneasiness or constraint。 

After   I   had   told   him   how   sorry   I was   to   see   him   in   those   melancholy 

circumstances�察�and said some           other civilities suitable to the occasion�察�I 

desired   him   to   tell   me freely   and   ingenuously�察  �whether   the   predictions 



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Mr。   Bickerstaff   had     published   relating   to   his   death   had   not   too   much 

affected   and     worked   on   his   imagination。      He   confessed   he   had   often 

had    it  in  his  head�察    �but  never    with   much    apprehension�察     �till  about   a 

fortnight     before�察�since which time it had the perpetual possession of his 

mind and thoughts�察�and he did verily believe was the true natural                    cause 

of his present distemper�此          �For�察─�said he�察 �I   am  thoroughly         persuaded�察�

and    I  think   I  have    very   good    reasons�察   �that  Mr。    Bickerstaff      spoke 

altogether by guess�察�and knew no more what will                 happen this year than I 

did myself。;      I told him his discourse        surprised me�察�and I would be glad 

he were in a state of health to        be able to tell me what reason he had to be 

convinced   of   Mr。      Bickerstaff's   ignorance。      He   replied�察   �I   am   a   poor�察�

ignorant     follow�察�bred to a mean trade�察�yet I have sense enough to know 

that     all   pretences    of   foretelling    by   astrology    are   deceits�察  �for  this 

manifest reason�察�because the wise and the learned�察�who can only                      know 

whether there be any truth in this science�察�do all unanimously                    agree to 

laugh at and despise it�察�and none but the poor ignorant               vulgar give it any 

credit�察�and that only upon the word of such               silly wretches as I and my 

fellows�察�who can hardly write or read。;                I then asked him why he had 

not    calculated     his   own    nativity�察   �to  see     whether      it  agreed    with 

Bickerstaff's prediction�察 �at which he   shook           his head   and said�察  �Oh�察 �sir�察�

this is no time for jesting�察�but for         repenting those fooleries�察�as I do now 

from the very bottom of my            heart。;     ;By what I can gather from you�察─�

said    I�察  �the   observations       and     predictions     you    printed    with   your 

almanacks   were   mere        impositions   on   the   people。;      He   replied�察   �If   it 

were     otherwise    I   should     have   the   less  to  answer     for。  We     have   a 

common form for all          those things�察�as to foretelling the weather�察�we never 

meddle with        that�察�but leave it to the printer�察�who takes it out of any old 

almanack as he thinks fit�察�the rest was my own invention�察�to make                       my 

almanack   sell�察  �having   a   wife to   maintain�察  �and   no other   way  to     get   my 

bread�察   �for  mending      old  shoes    is  a  poor   livelihood�察   �and�察─  �added     he�察�

sighing�察 �I wish I may not have done more mischief by my     

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