battle of the books et al(慕媾)-及11何蛍
梓囚徒貧圭�鮗� ○ 賜 ★ 辛酔堀貧和鍬匈��梓囚徒貧議 Enter 囚辛指欺云慕朕村匈��梓囚徒貧圭�鮗� ● 辛指欺云匈競何��
!!!!隆堋響頼��紗秘慕禰厮宴和肝写偬堋響��
a treaty of peace by the Duke of Mantua�察�which�察 �because it is a matter of
State that concerns us here at home�察�I shall speak no farther of it。
I shall add but one prediction more�察 �and that in mystical terms�察�
which shall be included in a verse out of Virgil ´
ALTER ERIT JAM TETHYS�察�ET ALTERA QUAE VEHAT ARGO
DELECTOS HEROAS。
Upon the 25th day of this month�察 �the fulfilling of this prediction
will be manifest to everybody。
This is the farthest I have proceeded in my calculations for the
present year。 I do not pretend that these are all the great events which
will happen in this period�察�but that those I have set down will infallibly
come to pass。 It will perhaps still be objected why I have not spoken
more particularly of affairs at home�察 �or of the success of our armies
abroad�察 �which I might�察�and could very largely have done�察�but those in
power have wisely discouraged men from meddling in public concerns�察�
and I was resolved by no means to give the least offence。 This I will
venture to say�察�that it will be a glorious campaign for the Allies�察�wherein
the English forces�察 �both by sea and land�察 �will have their full share of
honour�察 �that Her Majesty Queen Anne will continue in health and
prosperity�察 �and that no ill accident will arrive to any in the chief
Ministry。
As to the particular events I have mentioned�察 �the readers may judge
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by the fulfilling of them�察 �whether I am on the level with common
astrologers�察�who�察�with an old paltry cant�察�and a few pothooks for planets�察�
to amuse the vulgar�察 �have�察 �in my opinion�察 �too long been suffered to
abuse the world。 But an honest physician ought not to be despised
because there are such things as mountebanks。 I hope I have some
share of reputation�察 �which I would not willingly forfeit for a frolic or
humour�察�and I believe no gentleman who reads this paper will look upon
it to be of the same cast or mould with the common scribblers that are
every day hawked about。 My fortune has placed me above the little
regard of scribbling for a few pence�察 �which I neither value nor want�察�
therefore�察�let no wise man too hastily condemn this essay�察�intended for a
good design�察�to cultivate and improve an ancient art long in disgrace�察�by
having fallen into mean and unskilful hands。 A little time will
determine whether I have deceived others or myself�察�and I think it is no
very unreasonable request that men would please to suspend their
judgments till then。 I was once of the opinion with those who despise
all predictions from the stars�察 �till in the year 1686 a man of quality
showed me�察 �written in his album�察 �that the most learned astronomer�察�
Captain H´�察�assured him�察�he would never believe anything of the stars'
influence if there were not a great revolution in England in the year 1688。
Since that time I began to have other thoughts�察�and after eighteen years'
diligent study and application�察�I think I have no reason to repent of my
pains。 I shall detain the reader no longer than to let him know that the
account I design to give of next year's events shall take in the principal
affairs that happen in Europe�察�and if I be denied the liberty of offering it
to my own country�察�I shall appeal to the learned world�察�by publishing it
in Latin�察�and giving order to have it printed in Holland。
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CHAPTER IV
THE ACCOMPLISHMENT OF THE FIRST OF MR。
BICKERSTAFF'S PREDICTIONS�察�
BEING AN ACCOUNT OF THE DEATH OF MR。 PARTRIDGE THE
ALMANACK´MAKER�察 �UPON THE 29TH INSTANT。 IN A LETTER
TO A PERSON OF HONOUR�察�WRITTEN IN THE YEAR 1708。
MY LORD�察 � In obedience to your lordship's commands�察�as well as to
satisfy my own curiosity�察�I have for some days past inquired constantly
after Partridge the almanack´maker�察 �of whom it was foretold in Mr。
Bickerstaff's predictions�察 �published about a month ago�察 �that he should
die the 29th instant�察�about eleven at night�察�of a raging fever。 I had some
sort of knowledge of him when I was employed in the Revenue�察�because
he used every year to present me with his almanack�察 �as he did other
gentlemen�察�upon the score of some little gratuity we gave him。 I saw
him accidentally once or twice about ten days before he died�察 �and
observed he began very much to droop and languish�察�though I hear his
friends did not seem to apprehend him in any danger。 About two or
three days ago he grew ill�察�was confined first to his chamber�察�and in a
few hours after to his bed�察�where Dr。 Case and Mrs。 Kirleus were sent
for�察 �to visit and to prescribe to him。 Upon this intelligence I sent
thrice every day one servant or other to inquire after his health�察�and
yesterday�察�about four in the afternoon�察�word was brought me that he was
past hopes�察 �upon which�察 �I prevailed with myself to go and see him�察�
partly out of commiseration�察�and I confess�察�partly out of curiosity。 He
knew me very well�察 �seemed surprised at my condescension�察 �and made
me compliments upon it as well as he could in the condition he was。
The people about him said he had been for some time delirious�察 �but
when I saw him�察�he had his understanding as well as ever I knew�察�and
spoke strong and hearty�察�without any seeming uneasiness or constraint。
After I had told him how sorry I was to see him in those melancholy
circumstances�察�and said some other civilities suitable to the occasion�察�I
desired him to tell me freely and ingenuously�察 �whether the predictions
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Mr。 Bickerstaff had published relating to his death had not too much
affected and worked on his imagination。 He confessed he had often
had it in his head�察 �but never with much apprehension�察 �till about a
fortnight before�察�since which time it had the perpetual possession of his
mind and thoughts�察�and he did verily believe was the true natural cause
of his present distemper�此 �For�察─�said he�察 �I am thoroughly persuaded�察�
and I think I have very good reasons�察 �that Mr。 Bickerstaff spoke
altogether by guess�察�and knew no more what will happen this year than I
did myself。; I told him his discourse surprised me�察�and I would be glad
he were in a state of health to be able to tell me what reason he had to be
convinced of Mr。 Bickerstaff's ignorance。 He replied�察 �I am a poor�察�
ignorant follow�察�bred to a mean trade�察�yet I have sense enough to know
that all pretences of foretelling by astrology are deceits�察 �for this
manifest reason�察�because the wise and the learned�察�who can only know
whether there be any truth in this science�察�do all unanimously agree to
laugh at and despise it�察�and none but the poor ignorant vulgar give it any
credit�察�and that only upon the word of such silly wretches as I and my
fellows�察�who can hardly write or read。; I then asked him why he had
not calculated his own nativity�察 �to see whether it agreed with
Bickerstaff's prediction�察 �at which he shook his head and said�察 �Oh�察 �sir�察�
this is no time for jesting�察�but for repenting those fooleries�察�as I do now
from the very bottom of my heart。; ;By what I can gather from you�察─�
said I�察 �the observations and predictions you printed with your
almanacks were mere impositions on the people。; He replied�察 �If it
were otherwise I should have the less to answer for。 We have a
common form for all those things�察�as to foretelling the weather�察�we never
meddle with that�察�but leave it to the printer�察�who takes it out of any old
almanack as he thinks fit�察�the rest was my own invention�察�to make my
almanack sell�察 �having a wife to maintain�察 �and no other way to get my
bread�察 �for mending old shoes is a poor livelihood�察 �and�察─ �added he�察�
sighing�察 �I wish I may not have done more mischief by my